July 2021

Allocation Percentages for July 2021
F Fund

0%

C Fund

33%

S Fund

67%

I Fund

0%

I had another very solid month with a return of 3.16%. The S Fund continues to generate incredibly strong returns, and the C Fund is still solid as well. My one caution to everyone is to not get used to these types of returns. The average S&P 500 returns outside of these abnormal years and in non-recession years is at best 8%. At some point, there will be a reversion as our economy and the companies in the S and C Funds are not growing at 20-30% a year. Rather, we are seeing the effects of the inflationary monetary policy moving liquidity to the markets and into stocks. The reports continue to come out about inflation and whether it is transitory or permanent. If it is transitory then, by nature we would expect deflation in a transitory sense as well. In either scenario, transitory or permanent-both are not good. At some point, the Federal Reserve will have to act when the velocity of money or the amount of money in circulation reaches a tipping point. What that tipping point is, is still anyone's guess. I am of the belief that any interest rate hikes are still several quarters away. We are in a recovery mode, and unemployment benefits are still preventing full employment. There will be a hesitancy to raise interest rates until the IS-LM-FE curves are in better alignment. As a result, I'm still in the market for the C and the S Funds. I think the S rally will start to level out (especially over the summer), while the C Fund will continue to be decent. Have a great Independence Day holiday and long weekend! Keep investing!
           
  

TSP FUND QUOTES

Date L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
2024-11-22 26.8071 13.8108 51.0235 15.4040 58.6345 16.1249 35.5088 17.9670 17.9648 17.9624 10.6429 18.6680 19.5294 94.1871 96.2559 42.6555
2024-11-21 26.7630 13.7847 50.8402 15.3435 58.3842 16.0512 35.3363 17.8624 17.8602 17.8579 10.5814 18.6658 19.5205 93.8581 94.6413 42.4370
Daily Change 0.16%0.19%0.36%0.39%0.43%0.46%0.49%0.59%0.59%0.59%0.58%0.01%0.05%0.35%1.71%0.51%
Month to Date 1.08%1.22%2.18%2.37%2.56%2.72%2.89%3.49%3.49%3.49%3.46%0.26%-0.33%4.74%11.13%-1.08%
Year to Date 7.64%8.67%12.8%13.65%14.52%15.26%16.02%18.82%18.82%18.82%0%3.92%1.6%26.66%24.85%6.16%
Details L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
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