Year¹	TSP Coach
2005	2.66%
2006	2.46%
2007	2.82%
2008	4.10%
2009	1.85%
2010	6.00%
2011	5.89%
2012	1.89%
2013	2.71%
2014	2.50%
2015	3.69%
2016	2.91%
2017	0.90%
2018	4.38%
2019	3.76%
2020	8.01%
2021	3.02%
2022	6.07%
2023	4.62%
2024	1.51%
As of:	11/22/2024

L Income	L 2025	L 2030	L 2035	L 2040	L 2045	L 2050	L 2055	L 2060	L 2065	G Fund	F Fund	C Fund	S Fund	I Fund
										0.04%	0.84%	2.16%	3.32%	2.77%
0.37%		1.48%		1.70%						0.04%	0.73%	1.56%	3.06%	2.60%
0.49%		1.90%		2.16%						0.05%	0.73%	2.68%	3.00%	2.77%
1.29%		4.72%		5.40%						0.05%	1.69%	5.82%	7.61%	7.47%
1.36%		4.78%		5.45%						0.03%	0.92%	6.16%	7.12%	7.65%
1.07%		3.91%		4.49%						0.04%	0.80%	5.32%	6.07%	6.56%
0.95%		3.38%		3.89%						0.04%	0.64%	4.41%	6.00%	5.43%
0.65%		2.30%		2.64%						0.01%	0.56%	2.91%	3.44%	4.59%
0.51%		1.68%		1.94%						0.03%	0.88%	2.35%	2.89%	3.29%
0.49%		1.61%		1.87%						0.01%	0.63%	2.28%	3.48%	2.71%
0.71%		2.36%		2.72%						0.02%	0.82%	3.78%	3.58%	4.11%
0.59%		1.96%		2.29%						0.02%	1.03%	2.84%	4.47%	3.47%
0.16%		0.50%		0.59%						0.01%	0.43%	1.09%	1.42%	1.17%
0.77%		2.34%		2.79%						0.02%	0.86%	4.24%	4.92%	3.45%
0.69%		2.06%		2.47%						0.03%	0.95%	3.56%	4.68%	3.16%
1.63%		4.54%		5.43%						0.03%	0.95%	7.18%	10.19%	7.30%
0.62%	1.21%	1.61%	1.76%	1.91%	2.05%	2.18%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	0.02%	0.79%	3.05%	3.29%	2.76%
1.59%	2.62%	3.79%	4.16%	4.52%	4.83%	5.13%	6.05%	6.05%	6.06%	0.07%	2.34%	6.21%	6.87%	6.42%
1.21%	1.72%	2.76%	3.04%	3.31%	3.54%	3.76%	4.39%	4.39%	4.39%	0.04%	2.35%	4.07%	6.44%	4.60%
0.36%	0.45%	0.75%	0.82%	0.88%	0.94%	1.00%	1.23%	1.23%	1.23%	0.13%	0.39%	1.51%	1.85%	0.77%
¹Life starting dates for TSP funds are August 31, 2004. TSP Coach strategy has been in use since August 2004.

Year	TSP Coach
Initial	$10,000
2005	$11,002
2006	$13,440
2007	$14,758
2008	$13,652
2009	$15,894
2010	$19,804
2011	$19,577
2012	$24,250
2013	$32,748
2014	$36,579
2015	$37,192
2016	$38,589
2017	$46,277
2018	$43,715
2019	$56,723
CAGR	12.27%
CAGR L10Y	11.10%
CAGR L5Y	8.81%
CAGR L3Y	7.02%

TSP X1^	TSP X2^	TSP Z*	TSP V*	TSP U*	TSP T*	TSP R*^	TSP Q	TSP P*
$10,000	$10,000	$10,000				$10,000	$10,000	$10,000
$10,460	$11,140	$11,920		$11,002	$11,002	$11,665	$10,414	$10,755
$11,429	$13,452	$13,478		$12,000	$13,899	$13,909	$11,850	$12,389
$11,759	$13,585	$14,474	$14,758	$12,441	$16,683	$15,913	$12,602	$13,011
$10,892	$11,343	$13,121	$12,044	$10,971	$15,480	$17,339	$12,785	$12,668
$11,679	$13,416	$15,918	$14,366	$11,319	$16,326	$23,472	$14,009	$15,687
$12,405	$16,003	$17,973	$18,359	$11,589	$21,887	$26,881	$15,436	$19,174
$12,788	$15,741	$18,625	$19,708	$11,931	$19,460	$28,111	$15,693	$21,953
$13,585	$17,480	$17,509	$22,096	$13,030	$23,294	$27,247	$16,563	$25,457
$14,834	$20,441	$19,445	$25,296	$15,218	$29,767	$31,189	$18,981	$30,632
$15,248	$21,313	$23,605	$28,362	$16,542	$33,155	$35,511	$20,493	$31,327
$15,281	$29,689	$26,431	$31,514	$16,765	$35,575	$38,941	$18,924	$31,450
$15,681	$31,350	$27,416	$31,837	$17,872	$37,449	$40,523	$19,863	$34,732
$16,864	$35,902	$31,683	$36,894	$19,780	$40,337	$47,088	$22,189	$39,770
$16,326	$33,526	$31,370	$35,771	$18,871	$41,916	$47,893	$21,982	$36,644
$18,054	$40,718	$37,830	$35,858	$21,195	$48,226	$57,456	$22,803	$46,919
4.02%	9.81%	9.28%	7.07%	4.47%	10.35%	12.36%	5.65%	10.86%
3.82%	9.79%	7.73%	6.92%	6.22%	8.22%	7.89%	3.98%	9.36%
3.39%	6.52%	7.43%	2.62%	4.80%	6.27%	8.09%	3.80%	8.33%
2.30%	4.29%	6.09%	-0.95%	2.33%	6.14%	6.86%	0.91%	5.67%

January 2021

January 01, 2021

Allocation Percentages for January 2021

F Fund

C Fund

S Fund

100%

I Fund

Goodbye 2020! TSP had an impressive run this year with positive double-digit returns for the C and S Funds. However, a major driver of the incredible returns is the Federal Reserve pumping money into the market to bolster the economy. This in turn will lead to inflation down the road. When it will hit, and how high inflation will go, is anyone's guess, but money cannot be dumped into an economy without corresponding inflation. As a result, these returns, when compared to past and future years, may need to be tempered somewhat as it was definitely not a standard year. As for my returns, I had a record setting year with 37.5%. The excess alpha generated this year was in no small part due to the use of the F Fund. As I have explained in previous posts and emails to some of my subscribers, I use the F Fund (not the G Fund) as a safe harbor, and this year, I used it exactly for that purpose. Of course, the other major driver for this year was the S Fund. As you can see from the table at left, while the standard deviation (risk) of the S Fund is incredibly high, the Sortino Standard Deviation (upside risk) is also equally high. These are lagging indicators to be sure, but they detail the tremendous activity in the S Fund this year. Moving forward to 2021, I am remaining in the S Fund for January. However, I think the risk of remaining in the S Fund is higher in January than in previous months due to the expected profit taking and fear of a market pull-back, so make sure you understand your risk tolerance. My expectation for 2021 is for the market to return to "normal" with a slightly better than average chance of having a return of 9%, a slightly less than average chance of being -5% to +8%, and almost no chance of having a year like we just had. Happy New Year and Keep Investing!

Date	L Income	L 2025	L 2030	L 2035	L 2040	L 2045	L 2050	L 2055	L 2060	L 2065	L 2070	G Fund	F Fund	C Fund	S Fund	I Fund
2024-11-22	26.8071	13.8108	51.0235	15.4040	58.6345	16.1249	35.5088	17.9670	17.9648	17.9624	10.6429	18.6680	19.5294	94.1871	96.2559	42.6555
2024-11-21	26.7630	13.7847	50.8402	15.3435	58.3842	16.0512	35.3363	17.8624	17.8602	17.8579	10.5814	18.6658	19.5205	93.8581	94.6413	42.4370
Daily Change	0.16%	0.19%	0.36%	0.39%	0.43%	0.46%	0.49%	0.59%	0.59%	0.59%	0.58%	0.01%	0.05%	0.35%	1.71%	0.51%
Month to Date	1.08%	1.22%	2.18%	2.37%	2.56%	2.72%	2.89%	3.49%	3.49%	3.49%	3.46%	0.26%	-0.33%	4.74%	11.13%	-1.08%
Year to Date	7.64%	8.67%	12.8%	13.65%	14.52%	15.26%	16.02%	18.82%	18.82%	18.82%	0%	3.92%	1.6%	26.66%	24.85%	6.16%
Details	L Income	L 2025	L 2030	L 2035	L 2040	L 2045	L 2050	L 2055	L 2060	L 2065	L 2070	G Fund	F Fund	C Fund	S Fund	I Fund

Date

L Income

L 2025

L 2030

L 2035

L 2040

L 2045

L 2050

L 2055

L 2060

L 2065

L 2070

G Fund

F Fund

C Fund

S Fund

I Fund

2024-11-22

26.8071

13.8108

51.0235

15.4040

58.6345

16.1249

35.5088

17.9670

17.9648

17.9624

10.6429

18.6680

19.5294

94.1871

96.2559

42.6555

2024-11-21

26.7630

13.7847

50.8402

15.3435

58.3842

16.0512

35.3363

17.8624

17.8602

17.8579

10.5814

18.6658

19.5205

93.8581

94.6413

42.4370

Daily Change

0.16%

0.19%

0.36%

0.39%

0.43%

0.46%

0.49%

0.59%

0.58%

0.01%

0.05%

0.35%

1.71%

0.51%

Month to Date

1.08%

1.22%

2.18%

2.37%

2.56%

2.72%

2.89%

3.49%

3.46%

0.26%

-0.33%

4.74%

11.13%

-1.08%

Year to Date

7.64%

8.67%

12.8%

13.65%

14.52%

15.26%

16.02%

18.82%

3.92%

1.6%

26.66%

24.85%

6.16%

Details

January 2021

Allocation Percentages for January 2021

F Fund

C Fund

S Fund

I Fund

TSP FUND QUOTES

Allocation History