Year¹	TSP Coach
2005	2.66%
2006	2.46%
2007	2.82%
2008	4.10%
2009	1.85%
2010	6.00%
2011	5.89%
2012	1.89%
2013	2.71%
2014	2.50%
2015	3.69%
2016	2.91%
2017	0.90%
2018	4.38%
2019	3.76%
2020	8.01%
2021	3.02%
2022	6.07%
2023	4.62%
2024	1.51%
As of:	07/03/2025

L Income	L 2030	L 2035	L 2040	L 2045	L 2050	L 2055	L 2060	L 2065	G Fund	F Fund	C Fund	S Fund	I Fund
									0.04%	0.84%	2.16%	3.32%	2.77%
0.37%	1.48%		1.70%						0.04%	0.73%	1.56%	3.06%	2.60%
0.49%	1.90%		2.16%						0.05%	0.73%	2.68%	3.00%	2.77%
1.29%	4.72%		5.40%						0.05%	1.69%	5.82%	7.61%	7.47%
1.36%	4.78%		5.45%						0.03%	0.92%	6.16%	7.12%	7.65%
1.07%	3.91%		4.49%						0.04%	0.80%	5.32%	6.07%	6.56%
0.95%	3.38%		3.89%						0.04%	0.64%	4.41%	6.00%	5.43%
0.65%	2.30%		2.64%						0.01%	0.56%	2.91%	3.44%	4.59%
0.51%	1.68%		1.94%						0.03%	0.88%	2.35%	2.89%	3.29%
0.49%	1.61%		1.87%						0.01%	0.63%	2.28%	3.48%	2.71%
0.71%	2.36%		2.72%						0.02%	0.82%	3.78%	3.58%	4.11%
0.59%	1.96%		2.29%						0.02%	1.03%	2.84%	4.47%	3.47%
0.16%	0.50%		0.59%						0.01%	0.43%	1.09%	1.42%	1.17%
0.77%	2.34%		2.79%						0.02%	0.86%	4.24%	4.92%	3.45%
0.69%	2.06%		2.47%						0.03%	0.95%	3.56%	4.68%	3.16%
1.63%	4.54%		5.43%						0.03%	0.95%	7.18%	10.19%	7.30%
0.62%	1.61%	1.76%	1.91%	2.05%	2.18%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	0.02%	0.79%	3.05%	3.29%	2.76%
1.59%	3.79%	4.16%	4.52%	4.83%	5.13%	6.05%	6.05%	6.06%	0.07%	2.34%	6.21%	6.87%	6.42%
1.21%	2.76%	3.04%	3.31%	3.54%	3.76%	4.39%	4.39%	4.39%	0.04%	2.35%	4.07%	6.44%	4.60%
0.36%	0.75%	0.82%	0.88%	0.94%	1.00%	1.23%	1.23%	1.23%	0.13%	0.39%	1.51%	1.85%	0.77%
¹Life starting dates for TSP funds are August 31, 2004. TSP Coach strategy has been in use since August 2004.

Year	TSP Coach
Initial	$10,000
2005	$11,002
2006	$13,440
2007	$14,758
2008	$13,652
2009	$15,894
2010	$19,804
2011	$19,577
2012	$24,250
2013	$32,748
2014	$36,579
2015	$37,192
2016	$38,589
2017	$46,277
2018	$43,715
2019	$56,723
CAGR	12.27%
CAGR L10Y	11.10%
CAGR L5Y	8.81%
CAGR L3Y	7.02%

TSP X1^	TSP X2^	TSP Z*	TSP V*	TSP U*	TSP T*	TSP R*^	TSP Q	TSP P*
$10,000	$10,000	$10,000				$10,000	$10,000	$10,000
$10,460	$11,140	$11,920		$11,002	$11,002	$11,665	$10,414	$10,755
$11,429	$13,452	$13,478		$12,000	$13,899	$13,909	$11,850	$12,389
$11,759	$13,585	$14,474	$14,758	$12,441	$16,683	$15,913	$12,602	$13,011
$10,892	$11,343	$13,121	$12,044	$10,971	$15,480	$17,339	$12,785	$12,668
$11,679	$13,416	$15,918	$14,366	$11,319	$16,326	$23,472	$14,009	$15,687
$12,405	$16,003	$17,973	$18,359	$11,589	$21,887	$26,881	$15,436	$19,174
$12,788	$15,741	$18,625	$19,708	$11,931	$19,460	$28,111	$15,693	$21,953
$13,585	$17,480	$17,509	$22,096	$13,030	$23,294	$27,247	$16,563	$25,457
$14,834	$20,441	$19,445	$25,296	$15,218	$29,767	$31,189	$18,981	$30,632
$15,248	$21,313	$23,605	$28,362	$16,542	$33,155	$35,511	$20,493	$31,327
$15,281	$29,689	$26,431	$31,514	$16,765	$35,575	$38,941	$18,924	$31,450
$15,681	$31,350	$27,416	$31,837	$17,872	$37,449	$40,523	$19,863	$34,732
$16,864	$35,902	$31,683	$36,894	$19,780	$40,337	$47,088	$22,189	$39,770
$16,326	$33,526	$31,370	$35,771	$18,871	$41,916	$47,893	$21,982	$36,644
$18,054	$40,718	$37,830	$35,858	$21,195	$48,226	$57,456	$22,803	$46,919
4.02%	9.81%	9.28%	7.07%	4.47%	10.35%	12.36%	5.65%	10.86%
3.82%	9.79%	7.73%	6.92%	6.22%	8.22%	7.89%	3.98%	9.36%
3.39%	6.52%	7.43%	2.62%	4.80%	6.27%	8.09%	3.80%	8.33%
2.30%	4.29%	6.09%	-0.95%	2.33%	6.14%	6.86%	0.91%	5.67%

January 2021

January 01, 2021

Allocation Percentages for January 2021

F Fund

C Fund

S Fund

100%

I Fund

Goodbye 2020! TSP had an impressive run this year with positive double-digit returns for the C and S Funds. However, a major driver of the incredible returns is the Federal Reserve pumping money into the market to bolster the economy. This in turn will lead to inflation down the road. When it will hit, and how high inflation will go, is anyone's guess, but money cannot be dumped into an economy without corresponding inflation. As a result, these returns, when compared to past and future years, may need to be tempered somewhat as it was definitely not a standard year. As for my returns, I had a record setting year with 37.5%. The excess alpha generated this year was in no small part due to the use of the F Fund. As I have explained in previous posts and emails to some of my subscribers, I use the F Fund (not the G Fund) as a safe harbor, and this year, I used it exactly for that purpose. Of course, the other major driver for this year was the S Fund. As you can see from the table at left, while the standard deviation (risk) of the S Fund is incredibly high, the Sortino Standard Deviation (upside risk) is also equally high. These are lagging indicators to be sure, but they detail the tremendous activity in the S Fund this year. Moving forward to 2021, I am remaining in the S Fund for January. However, I think the risk of remaining in the S Fund is higher in January than in previous months due to the expected profit taking and fear of a market pull-back, so make sure you understand your risk tolerance. My expectation for 2021 is for the market to return to "normal" with a slightly better than average chance of having a return of 9%, a slightly less than average chance of being -5% to +8%, and almost no chance of having a year like we just had. Happy New Year and Keep Investing!

Date	L Income	L 2030	L 2035	L 2040	L 2045	L 2050	L 2055	L 2060	L 2065	L 2070	L 2075	G Fund	F Fund	C Fund	S Fund	I Fund
2025-06-30	27.9579	54.0610	16.3639	62.4426	17.2069	37.9654	19.3201	19.3178	19.3155	11.4479	10.0000	19.1711	20.2603	98.6743	92.0521	49.7247
2025-06-26	27.8773	53.7489	16.2611	62.0189	17.0827	37.6752	19.1450	19.1428	19.1404	11.3441	0.0000	19.1616	20.2330	97.6432	91.4042	49.3273
Daily Change	0.29%	0.58%	0.63%	0.68%	0.73%	0.77%	0.91%	0.91%	0.91%	0.92%	INF%	0.05%	0.13%	1.06%	0.71%	0.81%
Month to Date	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Year to Date	4.55%	7.17%	7.62%	8.06%	8.44%	8.79%	9.88%	9.88%	9.88%	9.9%	0%	2.22%	4.02%	6.18%	2.11%	18.69%
Details	L Income	L 2030	L 2035	L 2040	L 2045	L 2050	L 2055	L 2060	L 2065	L 2070	L 2075	G Fund	F Fund	C Fund	S Fund	I Fund

Date

L Income

L 2030

L 2035

L 2040

L 2045

L 2050

L 2055

L 2060

L 2065

L 2070

L 2075