December 2021

Allocation Percentages for December 2021
F Fund

0%

C Fund

100%

S Fund

0%

I Fund

0%

Never a dull moment. It looks like the Fed has admitted inflation is no longer transitory. It is amazing it took them this long, but I imagine the holiday season price increases finally brought them to their knees. I'm going to provide a prediction, something I am wary of doing, but here it is- inflation will hit 30% over a 3-year period. If you compare 2023 to 2020, it will be 30%, plus or minus. When I visited my local Starbucks a few weeks ago, I noticed a rather significant price increase in my Latte. I mentioned it to the barista, and he said it is because they have to pay for his salary increase. As a shift supervisor, he makes $15/hour, come next year he will be making $22/hour. To make matters worse for my military subscribers, I did a comparison to an O-1 and an E-4 assuming they work 22 days a month, 8 hours a day (which we know they don't) and realized at their base pay they make ~$21/hour and $13/hour, respectively. These are college graduates and servicemembers with leadership and technical experience. Pay will have to increase, not only for our military members, but for society as a whole-leading to significant inflation. So how do we deal with inflation? The Federal Reserve must begin to "Taper", which means the end of easy lending, higher rates, and an eventual slow-down in the economy and quite possibly the stock market. Look at the economy and interest rates in 1981-82 when we last had high levels of inflation for an example of what "could" happen. However, for now, I think the C Fund is the best option. The F Fund will not benefit any time soon from the Fed remarks, and the S and I Funds do not have the proper risk/reward profile. Keep investing!
           
  

TSP FUND QUOTES

Date L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
2025-03-28 26.8594 13.8120 50.1902 15.1042 57.3059 15.7146 34.5059 17.2790 17.2769 17.2747 10.2384 18.9577 19.9738 88.4507 82.3925 44.2564
2025-03-27 26.9686 13.8746 50.6826 15.2667 57.9789 15.9125 34.9707 17.5702 17.5680 17.5657 10.4107 18.9555 19.8635 90.2289 84.2106 44.7319
Daily Change -0.4%-0.45%-0.97%-1.06%-1.16%-1.24%-1.33%-1.66%-1.66%-1.66%-1.66%0.01%0.56%-1.97%-2.16%-1.06%
Month to Date -0.82%-0.94%-2.24%-2.49%-2.74%-2.95%-3.16%-3.86%-3.86%-3.86%-3.86%0.33%-0.18%-6.17%-7.59%0.96%
Year to Date 0.44%0.37%-0.51%-0.66%-0.83%-0.97%-1.12%-1.73%-1.73%-1.73%-1.72%1.09%2.54%-4.82%-8.61%5.63%
Details L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
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