December 2021

Allocation Percentages for December 2021
F Fund

0%

C Fund

100%

S Fund

0%

I Fund

0%

Never a dull moment. It looks like the Fed has admitted inflation is no longer transitory. It is amazing it took them this long, but I imagine the holiday season price increases finally brought them to their knees. I'm going to provide a prediction, something I am wary of doing, but here it is- inflation will hit 30% over a 3-year period. If you compare 2023 to 2020, it will be 30%, plus or minus. When I visited my local Starbucks a few weeks ago, I noticed a rather significant price increase in my Latte. I mentioned it to the barista, and he said it is because they have to pay for his salary increase. As a shift supervisor, he makes $15/hour, come next year he will be making $22/hour. To make matters worse for my military subscribers, I did a comparison to an O-1 and an E-4 assuming they work 22 days a month, 8 hours a day (which we know they don't) and realized at their base pay they make ~$21/hour and $13/hour, respectively. These are college graduates and servicemembers with leadership and technical experience. Pay will have to increase, not only for our military members, but for society as a whole-leading to significant inflation. So how do we deal with inflation? The Federal Reserve must begin to "Taper", which means the end of easy lending, higher rates, and an eventual slow-down in the economy and quite possibly the stock market. Look at the economy and interest rates in 1981-82 when we last had high levels of inflation for an example of what "could" happen. However, for now, I think the C Fund is the best option. The F Fund will not benefit any time soon from the Fed remarks, and the S and I Funds do not have the proper risk/reward profile. Keep investing!
           
  

TSP FUND QUOTES

Date L Income L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 L 2075 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
2025-06-30 27.9579 54.0610 16.3639 62.4426 17.2069 37.9654 19.3201 19.3178 19.3155 11.4479 10.0000 19.1711 20.2603 98.6743 92.0521 49.7247
2025-06-26 27.8773 53.7489 16.2611 62.0189 17.0827 37.6752 19.1450 19.1428 19.1404 11.3441 0.0000 19.1616 20.2330 97.6432 91.4042 49.3273
Daily Change 0.29%0.58%0.63%0.68%0.73%0.77%0.91%0.91%0.91%0.92%INF%0.05%0.13%1.06%0.71%0.81%
Month to Date 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Year to Date 4.55%7.17%7.62%8.06%8.44%8.79%9.88%9.88%9.88%9.9%0%2.22%4.02%6.18%2.11%18.69%
Details L Income L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 L 2075 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
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