December 2021

Allocation Percentages for December 2021
F Fund

0%

C Fund

100%

S Fund

0%

I Fund

0%

Never a dull moment. It looks like the Fed has admitted inflation is no longer transitory. It is amazing it took them this long, but I imagine the holiday season price increases finally brought them to their knees. I'm going to provide a prediction, something I am wary of doing, but here it is- inflation will hit 30% over a 3-year period. If you compare 2023 to 2020, it will be 30%, plus or minus. When I visited my local Starbucks a few weeks ago, I noticed a rather significant price increase in my Latte. I mentioned it to the barista, and he said it is because they have to pay for his salary increase. As a shift supervisor, he makes $15/hour, come next year he will be making $22/hour. To make matters worse for my military subscribers, I did a comparison to an O-1 and an E-4 assuming they work 22 days a month, 8 hours a day (which we know they don't) and realized at their base pay they make ~$21/hour and $13/hour, respectively. These are college graduates and servicemembers with leadership and technical experience. Pay will have to increase, not only for our military members, but for society as a whole-leading to significant inflation. So how do we deal with inflation? The Federal Reserve must begin to "Taper", which means the end of easy lending, higher rates, and an eventual slow-down in the economy and quite possibly the stock market. Look at the economy and interest rates in 1981-82 when we last had high levels of inflation for an example of what "could" happen. However, for now, I think the C Fund is the best option. The F Fund will not benefit any time soon from the Fed remarks, and the S and I Funds do not have the proper risk/reward profile. Keep investing!
           
  

TSP FUND QUOTES

Date L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
2024-11-22 26.8071 13.8108 51.0235 15.4040 58.6345 16.1249 35.5088 17.9670 17.9648 17.9624 10.6429 18.6680 19.5294 94.1871 96.2559 42.6555
2024-11-21 26.7630 13.7847 50.8402 15.3435 58.3842 16.0512 35.3363 17.8624 17.8602 17.8579 10.5814 18.6658 19.5205 93.8581 94.6413 42.4370
Daily Change 0.16%0.19%0.36%0.39%0.43%0.46%0.49%0.59%0.59%0.59%0.58%0.01%0.05%0.35%1.71%0.51%
Month to Date 1.08%1.22%2.18%2.37%2.56%2.72%2.89%3.49%3.49%3.49%3.46%0.26%-0.33%4.74%11.13%-1.08%
Year to Date 7.64%8.67%12.8%13.65%14.52%15.26%16.02%18.82%18.82%18.82%0%3.92%1.6%26.66%24.85%6.16%
Details L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
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