November 2020

Allocation Percentages for November 2020
F Fund

0%

C Fund

0%

S Fund

100%

I Fund

0%

It is fair to say the election is driving everything in the market. I try to stay very apolitical in these writings, as politics in a financial form never mix well, especially in today's world. I will continue to not play that card and make my investments and comments based on the facts. With the election just around the corner and peak uncertainty just about to be cranked up to eleven, I have thought very long about November's allocation to balance the risk of so many factors versus the possible rewards. My allocation is as follows-100% S Fund. I have arrived at this allocation through three factors. First, my system of measured risk is giving me a strong indicator for the S Fund. Second, I think the uncertainty in the election and COVID has now been almost fully priced into the markets. Third, the election, while probably close and with the outcome being contested for a week or so, will have a resolution before Thanksgiving. This might be a bold prediction, but even with extended deadlines to receive votes in some of the toss up states, I think the results will be clear much sooner than some expect. With a decided election before Thanksgiving, we should have a stimulus plan, a direction on COVID (lockdowns vs opening), and a better understanding of what the next 4 years will look like. All of these factors should benefit the market. The S Fund has been a performer of late, and while all the funds are susceptible to the international economy, the S Fund is less so and stands to gain from the US extending its GDP growth. With everything I have said, know your risk tolerance but always keep investing!
           
  

TSP FUND QUOTES

Date L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
2025-03-28 26.8594 13.8120 50.1902 15.1042 57.3059 15.7146 34.5059 17.2790 17.2769 17.2747 10.2384 18.9577 19.9738 88.4507 82.3925 44.2564
2025-03-27 26.9686 13.8746 50.6826 15.2667 57.9789 15.9125 34.9707 17.5702 17.5680 17.5657 10.4107 18.9555 19.8635 90.2289 84.2106 44.7319
Daily Change -0.4%-0.45%-0.97%-1.06%-1.16%-1.24%-1.33%-1.66%-1.66%-1.66%-1.66%0.01%0.56%-1.97%-2.16%-1.06%
Month to Date -0.82%-0.94%-2.24%-2.49%-2.74%-2.95%-3.16%-3.86%-3.86%-3.86%-3.86%0.33%-0.18%-6.17%-7.59%0.96%
Year to Date 0.44%0.37%-0.51%-0.66%-0.83%-0.97%-1.12%-1.73%-1.73%-1.73%-1.72%1.09%2.54%-4.82%-8.61%5.63%
Details L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
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