December 2020

Allocation Percentages for December 2020
F Fund

0%

C Fund

0%

S Fund

100%

I Fund

0%

Since 2004, the S Fund had the best month for any fund, the I fund had its best month, and the C Fund had its second-best month. I do not think anyone expected these types of returns after the most tumultuous year on record for most of us. A couple of factors are at work. First, the election-again without straying into political waters here-was called for VP Biden much earlier than many expected. Whether it remains that way is an open question, but a reversal would have a short-term impact on the market with the long-term being more neutral. Second, vaccines. While lockdowns are in effect across much of the country, vaccines are coming, and there is a strong belief in a great flood of freedom when people are once again able to venture from their homes and into the economy. Finally, monetary easing and stimulus. While the returns this month are staggering, we must remember the true level of inflation is over 3% when we account for the true rise in food prices and housing prices. Making these return less dramatic is the G Fund which is on track to return about 1% this year when it normally returns 3%. The low returns on government bonds and higher than normal inflation are pushing investors into stocks in an effort to generate the same level of returns normally seen when everything is in balance. So where do I stand? Many indicators point to weakness and bubbles in several areas of the economy. We are still locked down, and we have a contested election. However, I think the unbalanced condition will continue at least in the short-term and the stock market will continue to benefit. One note of caution, I would not be surprised to see profit taking at the end of December, so make sure you evaluate your risk tolerance appropriately. Keep investing!
           
  

TSP FUND QUOTES

Date L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
2025-03-28 26.8594 13.8120 50.1902 15.1042 57.3059 15.7146 34.5059 17.2790 17.2769 17.2747 10.2384 18.9577 19.9738 88.4507 82.3925 44.2564
2025-03-27 26.9686 13.8746 50.6826 15.2667 57.9789 15.9125 34.9707 17.5702 17.5680 17.5657 10.4107 18.9555 19.8635 90.2289 84.2106 44.7319
Daily Change -0.4%-0.45%-0.97%-1.06%-1.16%-1.24%-1.33%-1.66%-1.66%-1.66%-1.66%0.01%0.56%-1.97%-2.16%-1.06%
Month to Date -0.82%-0.94%-2.24%-2.49%-2.74%-2.95%-3.16%-3.86%-3.86%-3.86%-3.86%0.33%-0.18%-6.17%-7.59%0.96%
Year to Date 0.44%0.37%-0.51%-0.66%-0.83%-0.97%-1.12%-1.73%-1.73%-1.73%-1.72%1.09%2.54%-4.82%-8.61%5.63%
Details L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
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