December 2020

Allocation Percentages for December 2020
F Fund

0%

C Fund

0%

S Fund

100%

I Fund

0%

Since 2004, the S Fund had the best month for any fund, the I fund had its best month, and the C Fund had its second-best month. I do not think anyone expected these types of returns after the most tumultuous year on record for most of us. A couple of factors are at work. First, the election-again without straying into political waters here-was called for VP Biden much earlier than many expected. Whether it remains that way is an open question, but a reversal would have a short-term impact on the market with the long-term being more neutral. Second, vaccines. While lockdowns are in effect across much of the country, vaccines are coming, and there is a strong belief in a great flood of freedom when people are once again able to venture from their homes and into the economy. Finally, monetary easing and stimulus. While the returns this month are staggering, we must remember the true level of inflation is over 3% when we account for the true rise in food prices and housing prices. Making these return less dramatic is the G Fund which is on track to return about 1% this year when it normally returns 3%. The low returns on government bonds and higher than normal inflation are pushing investors into stocks in an effort to generate the same level of returns normally seen when everything is in balance. So where do I stand? Many indicators point to weakness and bubbles in several areas of the economy. We are still locked down, and we have a contested election. However, I think the unbalanced condition will continue at least in the short-term and the stock market will continue to benefit. One note of caution, I would not be surprised to see profit taking at the end of December, so make sure you evaluate your risk tolerance appropriately. Keep investing!
           
  

TSP FUND QUOTES

Date L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
2024-11-22 26.8071 13.8108 51.0235 15.4040 58.6345 16.1249 35.5088 17.9670 17.9648 17.9624 10.6429 18.6680 19.5294 94.1871 96.2559 42.6555
2024-11-21 26.7630 13.7847 50.8402 15.3435 58.3842 16.0512 35.3363 17.8624 17.8602 17.8579 10.5814 18.6658 19.5205 93.8581 94.6413 42.4370
Daily Change 0.16%0.19%0.36%0.39%0.43%0.46%0.49%0.59%0.59%0.59%0.58%0.01%0.05%0.35%1.71%0.51%
Month to Date 1.08%1.22%2.18%2.37%2.56%2.72%2.89%3.49%3.49%3.49%3.46%0.26%-0.33%4.74%11.13%-1.08%
Year to Date 7.64%8.67%12.8%13.65%14.52%15.26%16.02%18.82%18.82%18.82%0%3.92%1.6%26.66%24.85%6.16%
Details L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
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