September 2019

Allocation Percentages for September 2019
F Fund

0%

C Fund

100%

S Fund

0%

I Fund

0%

August is traditionally a very slow month for the stock markets with lower volatility and lower volume. This August did not follow this pattern. I have to say we are in very unsettled waters, and as I have said in my previous posts, we will see a flat market, month to month, for the rest of the year. We just had violent swings this month and yet the C Fund was only down 1.59%. Obviously there was a rush to the F Fund (the bonds fund) as a safe haven to preserve capital, and it garnered a 2.6% return, but a simple move of the C Fund can outperform that return very easily. However, with all the uncertainty, my calculations are getting very close to putting me in the F Fund. I suspect the traders who are more sensitive to the daily stock market movements have already switched a portion of their portfolio to bonds, driving the bond yield inversion. Professionals who try to forecast recessions use this indicator as a recession gauge, but it is by no means an exact science. So I am investing in the C Fund at 100% for September. As I stated last month, I still feel the risk of a monthly loss outweighs the possible gain of 1% or so on a monthly basis. Added to this assessment now, I think the possible gain incurred in a resolution of the trade war and the upcoming Brexit (and possibly another Fed cut?) could provide additional stimulus to the market. I do not want to miss out on these gains. I'm investing for the long term and short-lived downward fluctuations are to be expected. Keep investing!
           
  

TSP FUND QUOTES

Date L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
2024-11-22 26.8071 13.8108 51.0235 15.4040 58.6345 16.1249 35.5088 17.9670 17.9648 17.9624 10.6429 18.6680 19.5294 94.1871 96.2559 42.6555
2024-11-21 26.7630 13.7847 50.8402 15.3435 58.3842 16.0512 35.3363 17.8624 17.8602 17.8579 10.5814 18.6658 19.5205 93.8581 94.6413 42.4370
Daily Change 0.16%0.19%0.36%0.39%0.43%0.46%0.49%0.59%0.59%0.59%0.58%0.01%0.05%0.35%1.71%0.51%
Month to Date 1.08%1.22%2.18%2.37%2.56%2.72%2.89%3.49%3.49%3.49%3.46%0.26%-0.33%4.74%11.13%-1.08%
Year to Date 7.64%8.67%12.8%13.65%14.52%15.26%16.02%18.82%18.82%18.82%0%3.92%1.6%26.66%24.85%6.16%
Details L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
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