September 2019

Allocation Percentages for September 2019
F Fund

0%

C Fund

100%

S Fund

0%

I Fund

0%

August is traditionally a very slow month for the stock markets with lower volatility and lower volume. This August did not follow this pattern. I have to say we are in very unsettled waters, and as I have said in my previous posts, we will see a flat market, month to month, for the rest of the year. We just had violent swings this month and yet the C Fund was only down 1.59%. Obviously there was a rush to the F Fund (the bonds fund) as a safe haven to preserve capital, and it garnered a 2.6% return, but a simple move of the C Fund can outperform that return very easily. However, with all the uncertainty, my calculations are getting very close to putting me in the F Fund. I suspect the traders who are more sensitive to the daily stock market movements have already switched a portion of their portfolio to bonds, driving the bond yield inversion. Professionals who try to forecast recessions use this indicator as a recession gauge, but it is by no means an exact science. So I am investing in the C Fund at 100% for September. As I stated last month, I still feel the risk of a monthly loss outweighs the possible gain of 1% or so on a monthly basis. Added to this assessment now, I think the possible gain incurred in a resolution of the trade war and the upcoming Brexit (and possibly another Fed cut?) could provide additional stimulus to the market. I do not want to miss out on these gains. I'm investing for the long term and short-lived downward fluctuations are to be expected. Keep investing!
           
  

TSP FUND QUOTES

Date L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
2025-03-28 26.8594 13.8120 50.1902 15.1042 57.3059 15.7146 34.5059 17.2790 17.2769 17.2747 10.2384 18.9577 19.9738 88.4507 82.3925 44.2564
2025-03-27 26.9686 13.8746 50.6826 15.2667 57.9789 15.9125 34.9707 17.5702 17.5680 17.5657 10.4107 18.9555 19.8635 90.2289 84.2106 44.7319
Daily Change -0.4%-0.45%-0.97%-1.06%-1.16%-1.24%-1.33%-1.66%-1.66%-1.66%-1.66%0.01%0.56%-1.97%-2.16%-1.06%
Month to Date -0.82%-0.94%-2.24%-2.49%-2.74%-2.95%-3.16%-3.86%-3.86%-3.86%-3.86%0.33%-0.18%-6.17%-7.59%0.96%
Year to Date 0.44%0.37%-0.51%-0.66%-0.83%-0.97%-1.12%-1.73%-1.73%-1.73%-1.72%1.09%2.54%-4.82%-8.61%5.63%
Details L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
TSP Coach