November 2018

Allocation Percentages for November 2018
F Fund

0%

C Fund

100%

S Fund

0%

I Fund

0%

If you take a look at my post from September, I ended it with saying I would not be surprised if we saw another flat month for October. Well, the results across the board are pretty surprising, but I should say they are not unexpected. To put a finer point on it, I expect choppy months like the one we just had in general terms, but I did not expect a market to perform this way when the underlining economy is performing so well. The key is to not panic. I am investing for the long-term and if I sell or move funds around to chase the market, I will be like a cat chasing its tail. As we saw towards the end of the month, anyone who chose to sell, lost out on the rallies in the last two days. To put this month in perspective, the last time we had a poor month like this was August 2015. After that very rough month, the C Fund experienced down months during 5 of the next 14 months. I do not think we are in that position just yet. What I do think is there is a tremendous amount of "how much longer can this good market last?" coupled with indicators that technology stocks, Amazon just to name one, have unsupported valuations. I also think the market will begin to settle out once the elections are decided. So, for the month of November, I am still 100% in the C Fund. Of all of my options, including the F Fund, it has the strongest fundamentals and the risk of moving my investments to the "safe harbor" of the F Fund is just too high, when I think the losses in October are fairly temporary.
           
  

TSP FUND QUOTES

Date L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
2025-03-28 26.8594 13.8120 50.1902 15.1042 57.3059 15.7146 34.5059 17.2790 17.2769 17.2747 10.2384 18.9577 19.9738 88.4507 82.3925 44.2564
2025-03-27 26.9686 13.8746 50.6826 15.2667 57.9789 15.9125 34.9707 17.5702 17.5680 17.5657 10.4107 18.9555 19.8635 90.2289 84.2106 44.7319
Daily Change -0.4%-0.45%-0.97%-1.06%-1.16%-1.24%-1.33%-1.66%-1.66%-1.66%-1.66%0.01%0.56%-1.97%-2.16%-1.06%
Month to Date -0.82%-0.94%-2.24%-2.49%-2.74%-2.95%-3.16%-3.86%-3.86%-3.86%-3.86%0.33%-0.18%-6.17%-7.59%0.96%
Year to Date 0.44%0.37%-0.51%-0.66%-0.83%-0.97%-1.12%-1.73%-1.73%-1.73%-1.72%1.09%2.54%-4.82%-8.61%5.63%
Details L Income L 2025 L 2030 L 2035 L 2040 L 2045 L 2050 L 2055 L 2060 L 2065 L 2070 G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
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